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How much is a SaaS business worth? The answer depends on size, churn rate, growth, and how much time the owner spends running it. This guide breaks down current valuation multiples by ARR tier, explains how each factor affects the multiple, and includes worked examples. See also the full website valuation guide and the SaaS acquisition guide.
Small SaaS businesses are typically priced as a multiple of monthly Seller's Discretionary Earnings (SDE). Larger products above $100k ARR often trade on an ARR multiple. Both frameworks produce equivalent valuations at normal SaaS margins (70–85% gross margin).
| Size Tier | SDE Multiple | ARR Equiv. |
|---|---|---|
| Micro-SaaS (under $1k MRR) | 30–45x monthly SDE | 2–3x ARR |
| Small SaaS ($1k–$5k MRR) | 40–55x monthly SDE | 3–4x ARR |
| Growth SaaS ($5k–$20k MRR) | 45–65x monthly SDE | 3.5–5x ARR |
| Established SaaS ($20k+ MRR) | 50–72x monthly SDE | 4–6x ARR |
Ranges reflect direct buyer-to-seller deals. Multiples assume standard financials — verified via 12 months of payment processor data and Google Analytics.
If monthly churn were 1% instead of 2%, the same business would justify a 52–55x multiple, pushing the valuation to $135,200–$143,000 — a 10–15% premium for one percentage point less churn.
Monthly churn rate is the most important SaaS valuation driver because it determines how long customers stay. Each percentage point of additional churn reduces justified multiples by roughly 5–10x.
| Monthly Churn | Year-1 Retention | Multiple Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Under 1% | 88% | +15–25% premium above base multiple |
| 1–2% | 79–88% | Base multiple range |
| 2–4% | 62–79% | 0–15% discount to base multiple |
| 4–6% | 49–62% | 15–30% discount; growth dependency |
| Over 6% | Under 49% | Significant discount or pass; unsustainable |
Net Revenue Retention (NRR) above 100% is the most powerful SaaS valuation signal. It means the business grows revenue from its existing customer base even before acquiring new customers. A SaaS with NRR of 110% has a different fundamental value than one with NRR of 85%, even at the same headline MRR.
Low monthly churn (under 2%)
NRR above 100% (expansion MRR)
Consistent MRR growth over 12+ months
Under 5 hours/week of owner time
High customer count (low concentration risk)
Clean codebase with documentation
Monthly churn above 4%
NRR below 85% (shrinking revenue base)
Declining or flat MRR trend
Heavy owner involvement (20+ hrs/week)
Revenue concentrated in 1–3 customers
Technical debt or single-developer risk
Single API or platform dependency
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